NEW TRADE
| Buying March09 Natural Gas Selling September08 Natural Gas |

Seasonal entry date:
| 18th June
|
Seasonal exit date:
| 22nd July
|
Current spread:
| +0.528
|
Suggested buy price:
| +0.450
|
Spread margin:
| $750
|
Allocation:
| 1 spread per us$35,000
|
Contract details:
| www.nymex.com
|
CommentaryEnergy spreads can be rather tricky given the potential volatile nature of the market itself. However this spread has shown what is a reliable and massive move higher over the June/July period.
As the hot weather arrive in the US distributors he near month futures starts to see some sellng pressure relative to distant months as distributors start liquidating stocks accumulated over the spring period.
Historical performanceThis trade has been profitable 15in the last 15 years - a success rate of 100%. The trade has averaged a profit of around $2500 per spread.
Order placementBuy X March Natural Gas and sell X September Natural Gas at a spread of +0.450.
An allocation of one spread per us$35,000 in your account is recommend given the high tick value in the contract.
Profit targetWe set no profit target for now, thought would be happy with $2000+.
RiskRecommended stop loss is set at 0.250 or $2000 per spread.
Disclaimer: There is a Risk of Loss in Futures Trading DISCLAIMER AND RISK DISCLOSURE THE CFTC REQUIRES WE STATE THAT - NOTICE: HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT ACTUALLY BEEN EXECUTED THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER OR OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. THE RISK OF LOSS IN FUTURES TRADING CAN BE SUBSTANTIAL. YOU SHOULD CAREFULLY CONSIDER WHETHER SUCH TRADING IS SUITABLE FOR YOU IN LIGHT OF YOUR FINANCIAL CONDITION. PAST PROFITS ARE NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE PERFORMANCE. THERE IS A RISK OF LOSS IN FUTURES TRADING.THE INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN HAS BEEN OBTAINED FROM SOURCES BELIEVED TO BE RELIABLE, HOWEVER IT CANNOT BE GUARANTEED AS TO ACCURACY OR COMPLETENESS, AND IT IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE WITHOUT NOTICE. IT SHOULD NOT BE ASSUMED THAT THE SEASONAL PRICE TENDENCIES SHOWN HEREIN OR THAT THE SUGGESTIONS REGARDING THEIR USE WILL BE PROFITABLE OR THAT THEY WILL NOT RESULT IN LOSSES. PROTRADER LLC, ITS MEMBERS OR EMPLOYEES ASSUME NO LIABILITY IN CONNECTION WITH THE USE OF THE INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN.
Disclaimer: There is a Risk of Loss in Futures Trading DISCLAIMER HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT ACTUALLY BEEN EXECUTED THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER OR OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. THE RISK OF LOSS IN FUTURES TRADING CAN BE SUBSTANTIAL. YOU SHOULD CAREFULLY CONSIDER WHETHER SUCH TRADING IS SUITABLE FOR YOU IN LIGHT OF YOUR FINANCIAL CONDITION. PAST PROFITS ARE NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE PERFORMANCE. THERE IS A RISK OF LOSS IN FUTURES TRADING.THE INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN HAS BEEN OBTAINED FROM SOURCES BELIEVED TO BE RELIABLE, HOWEVER IT CANNOT BE GUARANTEED AS TO ACCURACY OR COMPLETENESS, AND IT IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE WITHOUT NOTICE. IT SHOULD NOT BE ASSUMED THAT THE SEASONAL PRICE TENDENCIES SHOWN HEREIN OR THAT THE SUGGESTIONS REGARDING THEIR USE WILL BE PROFITABLE OR THAT THEY WILL NOT RESULT IN LOSSES. PROTRADER LLC, ITS MEMBERS OR EMPLOYEES ASSUME NO LIABILITY IN CONNECTION WITH THE USE OF THE INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN.